Friday, June 21, 2013

Fantasy Analysis: Jacksonville Jaguars

Welcome back football fans. Yesterday John analyzed the New York Giants and today I’ll be the moving on to the next division: the AFC South, specifically the Jacksonville Jaguars. They finished second worse in the league, ahead of only the Chiefs. Nevertheless this is not a team devoid of talent. Let’s take a look.

Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne: So down in Jacksonville there’s a QB competition going on between these two. Now if you look at their stats there isn’t a huge difference between the two. Gabbert threw for 1662 yards, 9 TDs and 6 INTs on a 58.3 completion percentage; Whereas Henne threw for 2084 yards, 11 TDs and 11 INTs with a 53.9 completion percentage. But here’s the deal breaker Gabbert put up all those stats in 11 games and Henne did it in six games. I say all this to say that Gabbert should never be your fantasy QB but Henne could be if your main guy is on a bye week, maybe.

Maurice Jones-Drew and Justin Forsett:  With Jones-Drew returning from injury expect him to become the focal point of this offense once again, assuming he returns to form, which I believe he will. But should that not happen Justin Forsett can step in and perform well enough, unlike Jones-Drew’s backups last year. Statistically Forsett doesn’t look good, but that can be directly attributed to the emergence of Marshawn Lynch, who Forsett backed up for a few years. In short draft Jones-Drew but if you’re worried about his health than get his handcuff in Forsett.

Justin Blackmon, Cecil Shorts, and Mohamed Massaquoi: It took a while but the Justin Blackmon got himself together and played like he deserved to be a first round pick. Coincidentally his production increased when Henne stepped in or maybe not coincidentally. But unfortunately he got suspended for the first four games so he will fall on draft day. While Blackmon was still learning the ropes and nobody else stepped up along came Cecil Shorts. He posted 979 yards and 7 TDs in just 55 catches. Expect this trend to continue or even increase with the emergence of Blackmon. The third man up is Massaquoi who will be expected to replace Laurent Robinson, which ought to be easy enough considering Robinson was a nonfactor. But even so Massaquoi has never been a world beater, I do not recommend him for your fantasy team.

Marcedes Lewis: Lewis has long been the only viable offensive weapon, besides Maurice Jones-Drew. However his stats aren’t good enough to warrant playing him on your fantasy team. You can do better.

Josh Scobee: He’s a solid enough kicker, but much like Lewis he doesn’t need to be on your fantasy team because the offense doesn’t move enough to give him consideration fantasy wise.


Well that’s it for today. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Until next time, best wishes.

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