Friday, June 28, 2013

Fantasy Analysis: Indianapolis Colts

Welcome back football fans, these last couple days John looked at the powerhouse that is the Seattle Seahawks and covered the fantasy impact of the Aaron Hernandez case. Now because we deviated from our normal post a couple days ago today we will double up today to finish off the AFC South. We’ll start with the Indianapolis Colts.

Andrew Luck: The former number overall choice led the way for a very young Colts team. He posted the stat line 4374 yards, 23 TDs, and 18 INTs plus 255 rushing yards and 5 rushing TDs. For a rookie that isn’t too shabby. I fully expect to see improvement from the young QB specifically in the INT department. If he improves there then he becomes a low end QB1 or a strong backup. And with people clamoring after the RG3s, Kaepernick and Russel Wilsons of the fantasy world, you’ll be able to get good value with Luck.

Vick Ballard and Ahmad Bradshaw: As things stand right now Vick Ballard is the guy, according to Chuck Pagano. He rushed for 814 yards and 2 TDs. Not exactly impressive. Last year he was a solid flex but with the addition of Bradshaw his value is likely diminished. But that doesn't mean Bradshaw is the one you need to draft. He was clearly brought in to be the goal line back, but unless he dominates in the red zone, which I’m skeptical of, he isn’t worth drafting either. At this point these two are merely hindering their own value, though potential remains for them to become worthy of flex play.

Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton and Darrius Heyward-Bey: Reggie Wayne is one of the only holdovers from the Peyton Manning era, and he has produced even without the Hall of Fame bound QB. Last year he caught 106 passes for 1355 yards and 5 TDs. He immediately became the go to guy for Luck and showed no signs of slowing down. Expect him to resume his role next season. Hilton was yet another rookie that started for the Colts. And he showed up in a big way as the second receiver posting 861 yards and 7 TDs. With a year of experience under his belt it’s possible he could top 1000 yards but right now he’s just a WR2. Darrius Heyward-Bey will replace Donnie Avery as the deep threat, something he failed to be for the Raiders. With better receivers around him he may finally fulfill that role. Keep an eye on him with tempered expectations, as he has disappointed fantasy owners before.

Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener: Allen and Fleener put up 521 yards, 3 TDs and 281, 2 TDs respectively. Of the two rookies Allen showed the better ability, despite Fleener playing college football with Luck. However, neither are worth much fantasy wise.

Adam Vinatieri: Adam is typically a reliable kicker, (Just ask the Patriots back in 2001, 2003, and 2004) but he had a down this year finishing with 78.8 percent made. He’ll likely bounce back next year but it’s also possible he’s on the downward in his career (He is 40 after all).

Well that’s that. Tell us what you think with a comment below. And stay tuned for the Texans. Until then, best wishes.

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