Thursday, May 30, 2013

Fantasy Analysis: Atlanta Falcons

Matt Ryan
QB is ridiculously deep this year for fantasy purposes. It’s why a guy like Matt Ryan can throw for 4719 Yds and a 32:14 TD:INT ratio and still rank in at only the 7th best at his position. However, outside of one Week 11 disaster at Arizona that hurt his fantasy stock, Ryan would have finished as the No. 5 QB for fantasy, ahead of Peyton Manning and RGIII. With two Top- 10 wide receivers, as well as the ageless Tony Gonzalez, Ryan should have no problem replicating the numbers he put up last year. The question is, will it be enough to warrant a high selection?
Steven Jackson & Jacquizz Rodgers
You can find plenty of positive spins on the potential of this guy to break out for the Atlanta Falcons. He’s leaving the desolate Rams to come to one of the top 5 most explosive offenses in the NFL, will have plenty of room to run, and can catch passes on top of that. And that’s great. But if you came here for an endorsement for Jackson as your first round pick, look elsewhere. Jackson just turned 30, the age where most running backs hit a cliff in their production, and has enough mileage on him to make Michael Turner look like a fresh Mercedes. To expand on that point, over the past 5 years Michael Turner has averaged 283 carries a year. In the same time span, Jackson has averaged 285 carries a year, and has 3 more full seasons of carrying the ball. However, since the Atlanta brass is certain to have a bit more faith in Jackson than they did in Michael Turner, it could spell the end of fantasy relevance for Jacquizz Rodgers, Atlanta’s passing down receiver last year. Rodgers did a fine job last year, catching 53 passes, but Steven Jackson has averaged 45 over his career in St. Louis, and the Atlanta brass may prefer to leave Jackson in on passing downs. That said, this is a situation to monitor in preseason play. Jackson should have middle to low 2nd round value, though he will undoubtedly be drafted higher than that, while Rodgers will have no value unless he can carve himself a role in the passing downs.
Julio Jones & Roddy White
Need I have to put an explanation here? Jones finished as the 9th best wide receiver for fantasy purposes in 2012, catching 79 passes for 1198 yards and 10 TDs. He is also entering his 3rd year in the league, a time when many receivers post their best season. White finished 10th in fantasy scoring, has 6 straight seasons of 1000+ yards per season, and is clearly Matt Ryan’s favorite target. Go get them, gamers.
Tony Gonzalez
The ageless wonder is entering his 15th season in the league as a dominant pass- catching tight end. He finished as the 3rd best tight end for fantasy last year, despite his age, and there is no reason to believe he will be slowing down any time soon. Many will be steered and by his age and fear of an impending drop- off; don’t be one of those people. “Gonzo” is one of the most physically gifted tight ends in history, and keeps himself in near perfect condition. Draft him and enjoy the solid production.

Matt Bryant
Bryant connected on 33 field goals and 44 XP last season, and has been one of the most consistent kicker’s in the league. Bryant doesn’t have a strong leg, but is near automatic from within 40, and Atlanta’s offense will give him plenty of chances this season. Draft and

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